2012 NBA DRAFT: ANALYZING MOCK DRAFT (1-10)
By Doug Ferguson
Now that the NBA has held their draft lottery, it is time to take a look at what will likely happen on draft night. Here is a look at picks 1-10 and how the order is currently shaping up to look like…
1. Hornets- Anthony Davis/PF/Kentucky/6-11/FR
Davis was the guaranteed pick of anyone who won the lottery putting a lid on one of the wildest, one in a million journeys a player has ever traveled….
2. Bobcats- Thomas Robinson/PF/Kansas/6-9/SR
Last year Charlotte took a project post player, this year they go with one who is ready to play now….
3. Wizards- Michael Kidd-Gilchrist/SF/Kentucky/6-6/FR
Instability has loomed over this franchise like the dark cloud over Winnie the Pooh and his donkey and this kid is a rock….
4. Cavs- Andre Drummond/PF/Connecticut/6-11/FR
Teamed with the reigning rookie of the year Drummond and Tristan Thompson will be fighting over alley oops for years to come….
5. Kings- Harrison Barnes/W/North Carolina/6-8/SO
Barnes could easily slip further than this showing how fickle draft experts can be as he was a no doubt top overall pick to some if he were allowed tocome out high school….
6. Blazers- Brad Beal/SG/Florida/6-4/FR
With a glaring hole at both center and guard Portland has every option in the book here….unless they jump big for Davis they probably won’t trade up and with another pick in the lottery they won’t trade down so they go best available….
7. Warriors- Perry Jones/PF/Baylor/6-10/SO
As long as they are picking players to fit “Nelly’s system” Perry Jones is a glove…..
8. Raptors- Jared Sullinger/PF/Ohio State/6-8/SO
In the same mold as Charlotte, the dinosaurs back their project post from a year ago with a lower ceiling but ready to rumble beast on the block
9. Pistons- John Henson/PF/North Carolina/6-11/SO
This is the area to look for a Rondo deal to ultimately unite Austin Rivers with his dad…..Detroit has the other young pieces to make this happen but if not they get the shot blocking they don’t get from Greg Monroe down low…
10. Hornets- Austin Rivers/SG/Duke/6-4/FR
Rivers doesn’t go past the ten, who takes him and where he calls home by night’s end is a whole new ball of wax…..
Best Value: Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
Easily the safest pick there is in the draft. Many people forget three years ago Anthony Davis was trying to make a name for himself as a guard on Chicago’s south side and Michael was only a junior and only know as Gilchrist. He was a kid amongst men in those days as he was thought of as the best high school player in the country ahead of the Sullingers and Barnes’ of the world. He has always been known as a winner at all levels and all classes which he reinstated at Kentucky this year.
Biggest Reach: Thomas Robinson
There is always a risk in that guy who rises from not being a top 100 prospect to a top 5 pick. Somebody has to pick Robinson in the top 5 because just about every expert has him there but so were Keith Van Horn, Mike Dunleavy Jr., and Billy Owens. He has an extraordinary story that is only likely to be topped by the guy chosen ahead of him. Of anyone chosen in the top 10 though he may just be the one closest to maxing out his potential, which this draft is usually based on. He is ready to produce now but the upside might not be the same as others in the top 10.
Most Likely to Bust: Perry Jones III
It seems like we have been hearing about the Perry Jones and his potential for 20 years now. In all reality though that’s his age. If Jones does bust he would be the poster child for the anti-AAU radicals out there. The fact is staying in school in itself would probably hurt his draft stock despite the fact that he obviously has some seasoning to do before playing at the next level. The same pressure that pushed him out of college is going to push him up the draft board into the laps of a team that is drafting in the lottery for some strange reason. Its a hard concept for even a genius like me to wrap my head around. One thing is certain however, it is harder to jump over Amare Stoudemire than the latest telephone pole manning the post at your Texas Tech’s or A&M’s.